Tampa Bay Lightning 4-4 Montreal Canadiens

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is under 5.5 goals, with a 46% model probability. We also predict Montreal Canadiens to win at 31%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 6.0/100
    Odds 2.35 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -6.00
    Best odds 2.35 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Montreal Canadiens to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    31%
    Stake Low 5.9/100
    Odds 3.75 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -5.91
    Best odds 3.75 Casumo Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens prediction review

NHL action on Sunday, 28 December 2025 included Tampa Bay Lightning against Montreal Canadiens, a match that finished 4-4.

BetFTW gives under 5.5 goals a 46% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.35, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the match-result market. The model selects Montreal Canadiens to win, assigning the outcome a 31% probability at latest recorded odds of 3.75. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to under 5.5 goals. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 2.35. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.