Dallas Stars 1-4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is under 5.5 goals, with a 51% model probability. We also predict Tampa Bay Lightning to win at 43%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    51%
    Stake Low 11.8/100
    Odds 2.25 Fezbet Recorded P/L +14.75
    Best odds 2.25 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Tampa Bay Lightning to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    43%
    Stake Low 9.5/100
    Odds 2.70 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +16.10
    Best odds 2.70 Casumo Sport
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    28%
    Stake Low 5.9/100
    Odds 4.25 Fezbet Recorded P/L -6.82
    Best odds 4.40 1xBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction review

Dallas Stars and Tampa Bay Lightning met in NHL on Sunday, 18 January 2026, with the event ending 1-4.

BetFTW's model rates under 5.5 goals as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 51%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 2.25 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick comes from the match-result market. For this market, Tampa Bay Lightning to win carries a 43% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.70. Of the two available picks, under 5.5 goals carries the higher model probability at 51% compared with 43%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 2.25. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.