Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 60% model probability. We also predict over 5.5 goals at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Tampa Bay Lightning to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    60%
    Stake Low 9.4/100
    Odds 1.79 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +10.31
    Best odds 1.84 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    59%
    Stake Low 5.8/100
    Odds 1.77 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +4.43
    Best odds 1.77 Vbet Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction review

Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs met in NHL on Thursday, 26 February 2026, with the event ending 4-2.

For the match-result market, BetFTW favours Tampa Bay Lightning to win at 60%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 1.79 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The goals market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. over 5.5 goals is rated at 59%, with latest recorded odds of 1.77. Tampa Bay Lightning to win is rated more highly by the model, at 60% compared with 59% for over 5.5 goals. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 1.84, compared with a latest recorded price of 1.79. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.