Toronto Maple Leafs 2-5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 32% model probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    32%
    Stake Low 13.9/100
    Odds 4.75 Fezbet Recorded P/L -13.87
    Best odds 4.75 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 9.0/100
    Odds 2.46 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -9.01
    Best odds 2.46 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction review

The NHL meeting between Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning finished 2-5 on Sunday, 8 March 2026.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects the draw and assigns the outcome a 32% probability. The selection has latest recorded odds of 4.75 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the goals market. BetFTW rates under 5.5 goals at 46%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.46. While under 5.5 goals is the higher-probability selection, the draw provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 4.75. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.