Carlos Alcaraz 1-2 Sebastian Korda

Finished

For this ATP Miami match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 42% model probability. We also predict Sebastian Korda to win at 29%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    42%
    Stake Low 17.8/100
    Odds 3.40 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +42.79
    Best odds 3.40 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Sebastian Korda to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    29%
    Stake Low 17.5/100
    Odds 7.16 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +107.62
    Best odds 7.16 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda prediction review

The final score was 1-2 when Carlos Alcaraz faced Sebastian Korda in ATP Miami on Sunday, 22 March 2026.

BetFTW gives over 2.5 sets a 42% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The selection has latest recorded odds of 3.40 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The match-winner market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. For this market, Sebastian Korda to win carries a 29% model probability and latest recorded odds of 7.16. over 2.5 sets is rated more highly by the model, at 42% compared with 29% for Sebastian Korda to win. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 3.40. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.