Valencia 65-63 Lyon-Villeurbanne
Finished
Bet For The Win
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Pick 1 Total score under 154.0 W Settled - pick won.Estimated probability57%Stake Low 14.8/100Odds 2.02 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +15.14Best odds 2.02 LeoVegas Sport
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Pick 2 Lyon-Villeurbanne to win L Settled - pick not won.Estimated probability26%Stake Low 9.6/100Odds 5.50 Betfair Recorded P/L -9.56Best odds 5.50 Betfair
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Pick 3 Valencia to win with -9.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.Estimated probability54%Stake Low 6.6/100Odds 1.97 ComeOn Recorded P/L -6.58Best odds 1.97 ComeOn
Estimated probability vs. the odds
The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.
| Pick | Estimated probability | Best recorded odds | Implied probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total score under 154.0 | 57.0% | 2.02 | 49.5% | +7.5 pp |
| Lyon-Villeurbanne to win | 26.0% | 5.50 | 18.2% | +7.8 pp |
| Valencia to win with -9.5 handicap | 54.0% | 1.97 | 50.8% | +3.2 pp |