Betting guides
7 guides explain the ideas behind BetFTW predictions: value, the Kelly criterion, odds formats, totals, both teams to score, accumulators and how results are measured. Every example uses figures from picks BetFTW has published and settled.
- Value betting explained What a value bet is, how implied probability works and how BetFTW decides when a price is worth publishing, with figures from its own settled picks.
- The Kelly criterion and BetFTW stake bands How the Kelly criterion turns a probability and a price into a stake, how BetFTW groups stakes into low, medium and high bands, and how each band has performed.
- How to read decimal, fractional and American odds Convert between decimal, fractional and American odds, turn any price into an implied probability, and see the average odds of BetFTW picks by sport.
- Over/under betting explained How over/under (totals) markets work in football, ice hockey, basketball and tennis, with over 2.5 goals rates by league and BetFTW results in totals markets.
- Both teams to score (BTTS) explained What a BTTS bet is, how it settles and how often both teams scored in major football leagues according to the results BetFTW has recorded.
- How accumulators work How accumulator odds and probabilities multiply, why one losing leg loses the bet, and how BetFTW accumulators have performed by sport.
- How BetFTW measures performance The definitions behind BetFTW performance figures: settled picks, hit rate, Kelly-weighted yield, profit and average odds, with the current record by sport.