Los Angeles Lakers 116-98 Miami Heat

Finished

For this NBA match, BetFTW's top pick is Miami Heat to win with +5.5 handicap, with a 70% estimated probability. We also predict Miami Heat to win at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Miami Heat to win with +5.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    70%
    Stake Med 36.7/100
    Odds 1.90 Bet365 Recorded P/L -36.67
    Best odds 1.90 Bet365
  2. Pick 2 Miami Heat to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Med 35.8/100
    Odds 2.77 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -35.84
    Best odds 2.77 Marathonbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 218.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 29.4/100
    Odds 1.93 ComeOn Recorded P/L +27.38
    Best odds 1.93 ComeOn
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Miami Heat to win with +5.5 handicap 70.0% 1.90 52.6% +17.4 pp
Miami Heat to win 59.0% 2.77 36.1% +22.9 pp
Total score under 218.0 66.0% 1.93 51.8% +14.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Los Angeles Lakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Sep 2020 Denver Nuggets Home 117-107 W
25 Sep 2020 Denver Nuggets Away 114-108 W
23 Sep 2020 Denver Nuggets Away 106-114 L
21 Sep 2020 Denver Nuggets Home 105-103 W

Miami Heat

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Sep 2020 Boston Celtics Home 125-113 W
26 Sep 2020 Boston Celtics Away 108-121 L
24 Sep 2020 Boston Celtics Home 112-109 W
20 Sep 2020 Boston Celtics Home 106-117 L