Astros Jalisco 96-106 Libertadores de Queretaro

Finished

For this LNBP match, BetFTW's top pick is Astros Jalisco to win with -7.5 handicap, with a 64% estimated probability. We also predict Astros Jalisco to win at 76%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Astros Jalisco to win with -7.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Med 36.3/100
    Odds 2.30 Betano Recorded P/L -36.31
    Best odds 2.30 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Astros Jalisco to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake Low 16.0/100
    Odds 1.40 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -16.00
    Best odds 1.40 Marathonbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 184.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 13.3/100
    Odds 1.94 1xBet Recorded P/L +12.52
    Best odds 1.94 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Astros Jalisco to win with -7.5 handicap 64.0% 2.30 43.5% +20.5 pp
Astros Jalisco to win 76.0% 1.40 71.4% +4.6 pp
Total score over 184.0 58.0% 1.94 51.5% +6.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Astros Jalisco

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Oct 2020 Libertadores de Queretaro Home 89-82 W
15 Oct 2020 Abejas Away 85-88 L
14 Oct 2020 Abejas Away 96-99 L
9 Oct 2020 Aguacateros de Michoacan Home 74-90 L
28 Sep 2020 Soles Away 85-95 L

Libertadores de Queretaro

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Oct 2020 Astros Jalisco Away 82-89 L
15 Oct 2020 Soles Away 104-99 W
14 Oct 2020 Soles Away 94-103 L
11 Oct 2020 Abejas Home 75-69 W
4 Oct 2020 Aguacateros de Michoacan Home 81-96 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Astros Jalisco 8 90.6 90.5
Libertadores de Queretaro 10 93.2 96.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Astros Jalisco and Libertadores de Queretaro in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
17 Oct 2020 LNBP Astros Jalisco vs Libertadores de Queretaro 89-82
24 Sep 2020 LNBP Libertadores de Queretaro vs Astros Jalisco 96-115
23 Sep 2020 LNBP Libertadores de Queretaro vs Astros Jalisco 99-107