Soles 92-84 Aguacateros de Michoacan

Finished

For this LNBP match, BetFTW's top pick is under 177.0 points, with a 83% estimated probability. We also predict under 176.0 points at 82%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 177.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    83%
    Stake High 66.5/100
    Odds 2.03 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +68.50
    Best odds 2.03 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 176.0 Awaiting settlement.
    Estimated probability
    82%
    Stake High 65.8/100
    Odds 2.11 Noxwin
    Best odds 2.11 Noxwin
  3. Pick 3 Soles to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 38.9/100
    Odds 2.10 William Hill Recorded P/L +42.80
    Best odds 2.10 William Hill
  4. Pick 4 Soles to win with -2.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Med 34.5/100
    Odds 2.22 bet-at-home Recorded P/L +42.08
    Best odds 2.22 bet-at-home
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 177.0 83.0% 2.03 49.3% +33.7 pp
Total score under 176.0 82.0% 2.11 47.4% +34.6 pp
Soles to win 68.0% 2.10 47.6% +20.4 pp
Soles to win with -2.5 handicap 64.0% 2.22 45.0% +19.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Soles

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Oct 2020 Aguacateros de Michoacan Home 104-95 W
15 Oct 2020 Libertadores de Queretaro Home 99-104 L
14 Oct 2020 Libertadores de Queretaro Home 103-94 W
10 Oct 2020 Panteras Home 77-86 L
9 Oct 2020 Panteras Home 67-65 W

Aguacateros de Michoacan

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Oct 2020 Soles Away 95-104 L
15 Oct 2020 Panteras Home 96-90 W
14 Oct 2020 Panteras Home 98-87 W
9 Oct 2020 Astros Jalisco Away 90-74 W
4 Oct 2020 Libertadores de Queretaro Away 96-81 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Soles 10 86.8 84.4
Aguacateros de Michoacan 10 93.2 87.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Soles and Aguacateros de Michoacan in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
18 Oct 2020 LNBP Soles vs Aguacateros de Michoacan 104-95
24 Sep 2020 LNBP Aguacateros de Michoacan vs Soles 87-73
23 Sep 2020 LNBP Aguacateros de Michoacan vs Soles 68-86