Baskonia 74-85 Real Madrid

Finished

For this Liga ACB match, BetFTW's top pick is Baskonia to win with +2.5 handicap, with a 67% estimated probability. We also predict Baskonia to win at 62%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Baskonia to win with +2.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 30.7/100
    Odds 1.91 ГГбет Recorded P/L -30.74
    Best odds 1.91 ГГбет
  2. Pick 2 Baskonia to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Med 27.1/100
    Odds 2.09 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -27.14
    Best odds 2.09 Marathonbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 157.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 12.1/100
    Odds 2.05 10bet Recorded P/L +12.75
    Best odds 2.05 10bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Baskonia to win with +2.5 handicap 67.0% 1.91 52.4% +14.6 pp
Baskonia to win 62.0% 2.09 47.8% +14.2 pp
Total score over 157.0 55.0% 2.05 48.8% +6.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Baskonia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Mar 2021 Bayern Home 78-71 W
7 Mar 2021 Obradoiro CAB Away 87-78 W
5 Mar 2021 Barcelona Away 57-71 L
3 Mar 2021 Olympiacos Home 91-66 W
28 Feb 2021 Fuenlabrada Home 90-74 W

Real Madrid

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Mar 2021 Barcelona Home 76-81 L
7 Mar 2021 UCAM Murcia Away 74-58 W
4 Mar 2021 Zenit Petersburg Away 75-71 W
2 Mar 2021 Khimki M. Away 77-78 L
27 Feb 2021 San Pablo Burgos Home 96-81 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Baskonia 10 84.0 72.4
Real Madrid 10 79.5 73.4

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Baskonia and Real Madrid in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Feb 2021 Euroleague Real Madrid vs Baskonia 64-84
2 Dec 2020 Liga ACB Real Madrid vs Baskonia 92-83
2 Oct 2020 Euroleague Baskonia vs Real Madrid 76-63