NZ Breakers 89-103 South East Melbourne Phoenix

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is over 171.0 points, with a 83% estimated probability. We also predict NZ Breakers to win with +2.5 handicap at 76%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 171.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    83%
    Stake High 64.1/100
    Odds 1.90 10bet Recorded P/L +57.70
    Best odds 1.90 10bet
  2. Pick 2 NZ Breakers to win with +2.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake High 58.4/100
    Odds 2.36 Stake.com Recorded P/L -58.35
    Best odds 2.36 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 NZ Breakers to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake High 54.9/100
    Odds 2.80 Luckia Recorded P/L -54.89
    Best odds 2.80 Luckia
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 171.0 83.0% 1.90 52.6% +30.4 pp
NZ Breakers to win with +2.5 handicap 76.0% 2.36 42.4% +33.6 pp
NZ Breakers to win 71.0% 2.80 35.7% +35.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

NZ Breakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Mar 2021 Perth Wildcats Away 75-85 L
10 Mar 2021 Cairns Taipans Home 76-73 W
5 Mar 2021 Melbourne United Home 84-87 L
3 Mar 2021 Brisbane Bullets Home 97-92 W
27 Feb 2021 Adelaide 36ers Away 106-62 W

South East Melbourne Phoenix

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Mar 2021 Cairns Taipans Away 85-81 W
10 Mar 2021 Melbourne United Home 97-92 W
6 Mar 2021 Sydney Kings Home 85-91 L
3 Mar 2021 Perth Wildcats Away 92-93 L
28 Feb 2021 Illawarra Hawks Home 93-76 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
NZ Breakers 10 83.2 84.4
South East Melbourne Phoenix 10 91.4 87.4