Varese 81-68 Pesaro

Finished

For this Lega A match, BetFTW's top pick is Varese to win with +1.5 handicap, with a 77% estimated probability. We also predict Varese to win at 74%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Varese to win with +1.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    77%
    Stake High 51.4/100
    Odds 1.90 Betfair Recorded P/L +46.30
    Best odds 1.90 Betfair
  2. Pick 2 Varese to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 48.0/100
    Odds 2.00 William Hill Recorded P/L +48.00
    Best odds 2.00 William Hill
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 164.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 12.0/100
    Odds 2.20 10bet Recorded P/L +14.40
    Best odds 2.20 10bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Varese to win with +1.5 handicap 77.0% 1.90 52.6% +24.4 pp
Varese to win 74.0% 2.00 50.0% +24.0 pp
Total score under 164.0 52.0% 2.20 45.5% +6.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Varese

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Mar 2021 Sassari Home 89-74 W
27 Feb 2021 Bologna Away 76-85 L
14 Feb 2021 Fortitudo Bologna Home 67-79 L
10 Feb 2021 Brescia Away 83-98 L
7 Feb 2021 Vanoli Cremona Home 110-105 W

Pesaro

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Mar 2021 Vanoli Cremona Away 78-100 L
12 Feb 2021 Sassari Away 115-110 W
7 Feb 2021 Pallacanestro Trento Away 81-70 W
31 Jan 2021 Venezia Home 65-78 L
24 Jan 2021 Cantu Home 107-83 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Varese 10 80.3 86.6
Pesaro 10 87.5 89.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Varese and Pesaro in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
8 Nov 2020 Lega A Pesaro vs Varese 85-78