Guangdong 110-104 Guangzhou Long Lions

Finished

For this CBA match, BetFTW's top pick is Guangdong to win with -14.5 handicap, with a 76% estimated probability. We also predict Guangdong to win at 89%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Guangdong to win with -14.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake High 56.8/100
    Odds 2.25 NetBet Recorded P/L -56.80
    Best odds 2.25 NetBet
  2. Pick 2 Guangdong to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    89%
    Stake Low 20.3/100
    Odds 1.16 ГГбет Recorded P/L +3.24
    Best odds 1.16 ГГбет
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 226.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 10.3/100
    Odds 1.92 1xBet Recorded P/L +9.44
    Best odds 1.92 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Guangdong to win with -14.5 handicap 76.0% 2.25 44.4% +31.6 pp
Guangdong to win 89.0% 1.16 86.2% +2.8 pp
Total score under 226.0 57.0% 1.92 52.1% +4.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Guangdong

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Mar 2021 Qingdao Away 120-104 W
10 Mar 2021 Shandong Away 104-90 W
8 Mar 2021 Liaoning Away 115-124 L
5 Mar 2021 Jiangsu Dragons Home 106-97 W
3 Mar 2021 Qingdao Home 135-122 W

Guangzhou Long Lions

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Mar 2021 Fujian Away 118-115 W
10 Mar 2021 Zhejiang Lions Home 103-108 L
8 Mar 2021 Shanghai Home 96-95 W
6 Mar 2021 Sichuan Away 114-111 W
3 Mar 2021 Fujian Home 124-118 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Guangdong 10 121.5 106.9
Guangzhou Long Lions 10 104.0 105.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Guangdong and Guangzhou Long Lions in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
1 Mar 2021 CBA Guangzhou Long Lions vs Guangdong 98-105