San Lorenzo 73-76 CA Penarol

Finished

For this LNB match, BetFTW's top pick is San Lorenzo to win with +4.5 handicap, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict San Lorenzo to win at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 San Lorenzo to win with +4.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 44.8/100
    Odds 1.89 Suprabets Recorded P/L +39.86
    Best odds 1.89 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 San Lorenzo to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 44.5/100
    Odds 2.58 Suprabets Recorded P/L -45.64
    Best odds 2.67 Betano
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 160.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 12.7/100
    Odds 2.22 Betano Recorded P/L -12.66
    Best odds 2.22 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
San Lorenzo to win with +4.5 handicap 74.0% 1.89 52.9% +21.1 pp
San Lorenzo to win 66.0% 2.67 37.5% +28.5 pp
Total score over 160.5 52.0% 2.22 45.0% +7.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

San Lorenzo

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
9 Feb 2022 Ciclista Olimpico Home 78-76 W
5 Feb 2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Away 57-72 L
3 Feb 2022 Instituto De Cordoba Home 84-76 W
29 Jan 2022 Argentino Junin Away 78-98 L
27 Jan 2022 CA Penarol Away 72-82 L

CA Penarol

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Feb 2022 Obras Sanitarias Away 80-86 L
10 Feb 2022 Boca Juniors Away 85-69 W
3 Feb 2022 Boca Juniors Home 68-71 L
1 Feb 2022 Union Santa Fe Home 80-65 W
27 Jan 2022 San Lorenzo Home 82-72 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
San Lorenzo 10 73.9 78.2
CA Penarol 10 84.2 74.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between San Lorenzo and CA Penarol in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
27 Jan 2022 LNB CA Penarol vs San Lorenzo 82-72
15 Oct 2021 Super 20 San Lorenzo vs CA Penarol 88-73
17 Jan 2021 LNB San Lorenzo vs CA Penarol 74-75
12 Jan 2021 LNB CA Penarol vs San Lorenzo 57-99