NZ Breakers 87-102 Illawarra Hawks

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is NZ Breakers to win with +6.5 handicap, with a 79% estimated probability. We also predict NZ Breakers to win at 68%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 NZ Breakers to win with +6.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    79%
    Stake High 62.1/100
    Odds 2.24 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -62.06
    Best odds 2.24 Vbet Sport
  2. Pick 2 NZ Breakers to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake High 60.5/100
    Odds 5.25 NEO.bet Recorded P/L -60.47
    Best odds 5.25 NEO.bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
NZ Breakers to win with +6.5 handicap 79.0% 2.24 44.6% +34.4 pp
NZ Breakers to win 68.0% 5.25 19.0% +49.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

NZ Breakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Feb 2022 Melbourne United Away 73-108 L
14 Feb 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 84-83 W
2 Feb 2022 Illawarra Hawks Home 90-67 W
16 Jan 2022 Sydney Kings Away 82-75 W
14 Jan 2022 Melbourne United Home 78-89 L

Illawarra Hawks

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Feb 2022 Adelaide 36ers Home 87-71 W
18 Feb 2022 Cairns Taipans Home 79-54 W
12 Feb 2022 Cairns Taipans Home 87-81 W
2 Feb 2022 NZ Breakers Away 67-90 L
29 Jan 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 94-75 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
NZ Breakers 10 82.4 87.8
Illawarra Hawks 10 85.3 82.5

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between NZ Breakers and Illawarra Hawks in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
2 Feb 2022 NBL NZ Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks 90-67
17 Dec 2021 NBL Illawarra Hawks vs NZ Breakers 97-96
28 May 2021 NBL NZ Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks 73-84
15 May 2021 NBL Illawarra Hawks vs NZ Breakers 73-71
3 May 2021 NBL NZ Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks 67-75