Nlex Road Warriors 115-103 Barangay Ginebra

Finished

For this Governors Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is Nlex Road Warriors to win with +3.5 handicap, with a 71% estimated probability. We also predict Nlex Road Warriors to win at 64%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Nlex Road Warriors to win with +3.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 37.3/100
    Odds 1.86 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +32.06
    Best odds 1.86 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Nlex Road Warriors to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Med 36.5/100
    Odds 2.31 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +47.84
    Best odds 2.31 Marathonbet
  3. Pick 3 Nlex Road Warriors to win with +4.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    73%
    Stake Med 36.0/100
    Odds 1.73 Betclic Recorded P/L +26.29
    Best odds 1.73 Betclic
  4. Pick 4 Total score over 204.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 5.0/100
    Odds 1.90 888sport Recorded P/L +11.65
    Best odds 2.03 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Nlex Road Warriors to win with +3.5 handicap 71.0% 1.86 53.8% +17.2 pp
Nlex Road Warriors to win 64.0% 2.31 43.3% +20.7 pp
Nlex Road Warriors to win with +4.5 handicap 73.0% 1.73 57.8% +15.2 pp
Total score over 204.0 55.0% 2.03 49.3% +5.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Nlex Road Warriors

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Feb 2022 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Home 109-100 W
23 Feb 2022 Alaska Aces Away 106-89 W
18 Feb 2022 Blackwater Elite Away 117-97 W
16 Feb 2022 Purefoods Star Home 109-112 L
11 Feb 2022 Meralco Bolts Away 100-110 L

Barangay Ginebra

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Feb 2022 Mahindra Floodbuster Home 112-107 W
25 Feb 2022 Blackwater Elite Away 109-100 W
20 Feb 2022 San Miguel Beermen Home 102-110 L
18 Feb 2022 Talk N Text Tropang Texters Away 92-119 L
13 Feb 2022 Meralco Bolts Home 95-101 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Nlex Road Warriors 10 108.6 101.3
Barangay Ginebra 10 98.8 101.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Nlex Road Warriors and Barangay Ginebra in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
18 Jul 2021 PBA Philippine Cup Nlex Road Warriors vs Barangay Ginebra 94-75