Adelaide 36ers 76-83 South East Melbourne Phoenix

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is over 168.0 points, with a 82% estimated probability. We also predict over 169.0 points at 81%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 168.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    82%
    Stake High 62.0/100
    Odds 1.90 1xBet Recorded P/L -62.22
    Best odds 1.91 Jetbull
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 169.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    81%
    Stake High 59.7/100
    Odds 1.89 1xBet Recorded P/L -59.65
    Best odds 1.89 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Adelaide 36ers to win with +5.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 28.2/100
    Odds 1.90 Bwin Recorded P/L -30.21
    Best odds 1.95 Bet365
  4. Pick 4 Adelaide 36ers to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    53%
    Stake Med 27.5/100
    Odds 2.84 Fanduel Recorded P/L -29.50
    Best odds 3.00 Bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 168.0 82.0% 1.91 52.4% +29.6 pp
Total score over 169.0 81.0% 1.89 52.9% +28.1 pp
Adelaide 36ers to win with +5.5 handicap 66.0% 1.95 51.3% +14.7 pp
Adelaide 36ers to win 53.0% 3.00 33.3% +19.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Adelaide 36ers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Feb 2022 Sydney Kings Home 90-93 L
25 Feb 2022 Illawarra Hawks Away 71-87 L
20 Feb 2022 Cairns Taipans Home 82-71 W
11 Feb 2022 Brisbane Bullets Away 73-77 L
30 Jan 2022 Melbourne United Home 88-83 W

South East Melbourne Phoenix

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Feb 2022 Perth Wildcats Home 86-80 W
19 Feb 2022 Brisbane Bullets Home 98-94 W
17 Feb 2022 Melbourne United Away 87-94 L
10 Feb 2022 Sydney Kings Home 87-92 L
29 Jan 2022 Brisbane Bullets Away 88-73 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Adelaide 36ers 10 82.3 86.0
South East Melbourne Phoenix 10 88.1 85.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Adelaide 36ers and South East Melbourne Phoenix in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
17 Apr 2021 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers 81-90
20 Mar 2021 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers 96-89
23 Feb 2021 NBL Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 99-94
20 Jan 2021 NBL Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 83-89