NZ Breakers 74-92 Brisbane Bullets

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is NZ Breakers to win with +3.5 handicap, with a 73% estimated probability. We also predict NZ Breakers to win at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 NZ Breakers to win with +3.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    73%
    Stake Med 49.3/100
    Odds 2.14 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -49.32
    Best odds 2.14 Vbet Sport
  2. Pick 2 NZ Breakers to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 47.1/100
    Odds 2.80 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -47.11
    Best odds 2.80 Vbet Sport
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 171.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 11.9/100
    Odds 1.87 Bodog Recorded P/L +10.33
    Best odds 1.87 Bodog
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
NZ Breakers to win with +3.5 handicap 73.0% 2.14 46.7% +26.3 pp
NZ Breakers to win 66.0% 2.80 35.7% +30.3 pp
Total score under 171.0 59.0% 1.87 53.5% +5.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

NZ Breakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Mar 2022 Illawarra Hawks Home 87-102 L
20 Feb 2022 Melbourne United Away 73-108 L
14 Feb 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 84-83 W
2 Feb 2022 Illawarra Hawks Home 90-67 W
16 Jan 2022 Sydney Kings Away 82-75 W

Brisbane Bullets

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Mar 2022 Melbourne United Away 83-95 L
24 Feb 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 69-73 L
19 Feb 2022 South East Melbourne Phoenix Away 94-98 L
13 Feb 2022 Sydney Kings Away 69-71 L
11 Feb 2022 Adelaide 36ers Home 77-73 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
NZ Breakers 10 82.3 88.5
Brisbane Bullets 10 81.6 85.0

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between NZ Breakers and Brisbane Bullets in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
9 Jan 2022 NBL Brisbane Bullets vs NZ Breakers 83-88
30 May 2021 NBL NZ Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets 83-95
16 Apr 2021 NBL NZ Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets 91-71
27 Mar 2021 NBL Brisbane Bullets vs NZ Breakers 76-81
20 Mar 2021 NBL Brisbane Bullets vs NZ Breakers 88-67