Rapla 76-86 Parnu

Finished

For this KML match, BetFTW's top pick is under 159.0 points, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict Rapla to win with +5.5 handicap at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 159.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 15.5/100
    Odds 1.94 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -18.41
    Best odds 2.01 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Rapla to win with +5.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 9.2/100
    Odds 1.90 Powbet Recorded P/L -9.22
    Best odds 1.90 Powbet
  3. Pick 3 Rapla to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    41%
    Stake Low 5.2/100
    Odds 2.65 Luckia Recorded P/L -12.22
    Best odds 3.05 Luckia
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 159.0 59.0% 2.01 49.8% +9.2 pp
Rapla to win with +5.5 handicap 57.0% 1.90 52.6% +4.4 pp
Rapla to win 41.0% 3.05 32.8% +8.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Rapla

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 May 2022 Parnu Away 81-97 L
29 Apr 2022 Parnu Home 80-67 W
27 Apr 2022 Parnu Away 64-75 L
21 Apr 2022 Tartu Rock Home 77-76 W
18 Apr 2022 Parnu Away 72-79 L

Parnu

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 May 2022 Rapla Home 97-81 W
29 Apr 2022 Rapla Away 67-80 L
27 Apr 2022 Rapla Home 75-64 W
24 Apr 2022 Tallinna Kalev Home 107-76 W
21 Apr 2022 BC Kalev/Cramo Home 64-91 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Rapla 10 74.2 80.1
Parnu 10 84.9 74.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Rapla and Parnu in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
2 May 2022 KML Parnu vs Rapla 97-81
29 Apr 2022 KML Rapla vs Parnu 80-67
27 Apr 2022 KML Parnu vs Rapla 75-64
18 Apr 2022 KML Parnu vs Rapla 79-72
29 Jan 2022 Latvian-Estonian League Rapla vs Parnu 107-79