Ovarense 94-84 Esgueira

Finished

For this LBP match, BetFTW's top pick is under 158.0 points, with a 64% estimated probability. We also predict Esgueira to win at 32%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 158.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 22.6/100
    Odds 1.87 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -22.62
    Best odds 1.87 Vbet Sport
  2. Pick 2 Esgueira to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 18.4/100
    Odds 6.00 efbet Recorded P/L -18.40
    Best odds 6.00 efbet
  3. Pick 3 Esgueira to win with +12.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Low 7.7/100
    Odds 1.70 Betano Recorded P/L +5.40
    Best odds 1.70 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 158.0 64.0% 1.87 53.5% +10.5 pp
Esgueira to win 32.0% 6.00 16.7% +15.3 pp
Esgueira to win with +12.5 handicap 62.0% 1.70 58.8% +3.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Ovarense

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Oct 2022 Vitoria SC Home 97-88 W
1 Oct 2022 Madeira Away 80-77 W
10 Sep 2022 Esgueira Home 68-60 W
6 May 2022 Benfica Away 65-96 L
30 Apr 2022 Academica De Coimbra Away 84-59 W

Esgueira

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Oct 2022 Vitoria SC Away 95-96 L
1 Oct 2022 Oliveirense Away 71-80 L
24 Sep 2022 Imortal BC Home 93-78 W
10 Sep 2022 Ovarense Away 60-68 L
29 Jan 2022 Sampaense Away 116-59 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Ovarense 10 84.8 78.2
Esgueira 10 83.8 75.1

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Ovarense and Esgueira in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
10 Sep 2022 Club Friendlies Ovarense vs Esgueira 68-60
18 Mar 2021 LBP Esgueira vs Ovarense 73-85