Melbourne United 110-85 South East Melbourne Phoenix

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Melbourne United to win with +2.5 handicap, with a 67% estimated probability. We also predict Melbourne United to win at 62%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Melbourne United to win with +2.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 30.3/100
    Odds 1.90 Фонбет Recorded P/L +27.30
    Best odds 1.90 Фонбет
  2. Pick 2 Melbourne United to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Med 29.0/100
    Odds 2.15 10bet Recorded P/L +35.16
    Best odds 2.18 Bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Melbourne United to win with +2.5 handicap 67.0% 1.90 52.6% +14.4 pp
Melbourne United to win 62.0% 2.18 45.9% +16.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Melbourne United

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Nov 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 72-97 L
31 Oct 2022 Perth Wildcats Home 94-77 W
29 Oct 2022 Illawarra Hawks Away 106-100 W
23 Oct 2022 Sydney Kings Home 69-87 L
20 Oct 2022 Cairns Taipans Home 77-81 L

South East Melbourne Phoenix

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2022 Adelaide 36ers Home 103-98 W
28 Oct 2022 Perth Wildcats Away 91-90 W
22 Oct 2022 Brisbane Bullets Home 89-88 W
20 Oct 2022 NZ Breakers Away 99-77 W
15 Oct 2022 NZ Breakers Home 77-85 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Melbourne United 10 81.1 86.1
South East Melbourne Phoenix 10 88.7 87.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Melbourne United and South East Melbourne Phoenix in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
7 Apr 2022 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United 88-90
13 Mar 2022 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United 90-98
17 Feb 2022 NBL Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 94-87
12 Dec 2021 NBL Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 86-94
15 Jun 2021 NBL Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 84-74