NZ Breakers 77-81 Sydney Kings

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Sydney Kings to win, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict Sydney Kings to win with -2.5 handicap at 52%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sydney Kings to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 1.86 efbet Recorded P/L +12.69
    Best odds 1.91 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Sydney Kings to win with -2.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 7.6/100
    Odds 2.08 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +8.16
    Best odds 2.08 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Sydney Kings to win 59.0% 1.91 52.4% +6.6 pp
Sydney Kings to win with -2.5 handicap 52.0% 2.08 48.1% +3.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

NZ Breakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2022 Tasmania JackJumpers Home 94-62 W
28 Oct 2022 Adelaide 36ers Away 99-70 W
23 Oct 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 68-64 W
20 Oct 2022 South East Melbourne Phoenix Home 77-99 L
17 Oct 2022 Illawarra Hawks Away 88-62 W

Sydney Kings

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
29 Oct 2022 Cairns Taipans Home 106-103 W
23 Oct 2022 Melbourne United Away 87-69 W
21 Oct 2022 Adelaide 36ers Home 88-92 L
16 Oct 2022 Brisbane Bullets Away 102-85 W
14 Oct 2022 Cairns Taipans Home 78-83 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
NZ Breakers 10 82.5 78.1
Sydney Kings 10 94.5 86.4

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between NZ Breakers and Sydney Kings in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
12 Apr 2022 NBL NZ Breakers vs Sydney Kings 70-76
16 Jan 2022 NBL Sydney Kings vs NZ Breakers 75-82
22 May 2021 NBL NZ Breakers vs Sydney Kings 76-81
20 May 2021 NBL NZ Breakers vs Sydney Kings 89-81
25 Feb 2021 NBL Sydney Kings vs NZ Breakers 96-78