Purefoods Star 91-69 Blackwater Elite

Finished

For this Commissioners Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is Purefoods Star to win with -8.5 handicap, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict Purefoods Star to win at 84%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Purefoods Star to win with -8.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 44.8/100
    Odds 1.89 Circus Recorded P/L +40.60
    Best odds 1.90 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Purefoods Star to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    84%
    Stake Low 22.5/100
    Odds 1.26 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +7.52
    Best odds 1.28 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Purefoods Star to win with -8.5 handicap 74.0% 1.90 52.6% +21.4 pp
Purefoods Star to win 84.0% 1.28 78.1% +5.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Purefoods Star

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Oct 2022 Barangay Ginebra Away 97-103 L
16 Oct 2022 Globalport Batang Home 109-91 W
12 Oct 2022 Nlex Road Warriors Away 111-97 W
5 Oct 2022 Talk N Text Tropang Texters Home 94-92 W
28 Sep 2022 Mahindra Floodbuster Home 100-92 W

Blackwater Elite

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Oct 2022 Talk N Text Tropang Texters Home 98-108 L
14 Oct 2022 Mahindra Floodbuster Home 93-86 W
12 Oct 2022 Globalport Batang Away 83-87 L
5 Oct 2022 San Miguel Beermen Home 109-106 W
24 Sep 2022 Phoenix Petroleum - FEU Away 97-85 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Purefoods Star 10 96.7 94.6
Blackwater Elite 10 90.4 98.5

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Purefoods Star and Blackwater Elite in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
22 Jul 2022 PBA Philippine Cup Blackwater Elite vs Purefoods Star 66-75
9 Mar 2022 Governors Cup Blackwater Elite vs Purefoods Star 101-100