San Miguel Beermen 96-97 Barangay Ginebra

Finished

For this Commissioners Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is San Miguel Beermen to win, with a 71% estimated probability. We also predict San Miguel Beermen to win with +6.5 handicap at 81%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 San Miguel Beermen to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake High 52.9/100
    Odds 2.60 Betano Recorded P/L -54.52
    Best odds 2.76 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 San Miguel Beermen to win with +6.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    81%
    Stake High 51.8/100
    Odds 1.65 Fezbet Recorded P/L +35.94
    Best odds 1.68 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
San Miguel Beermen to win 71.0% 2.76 36.2% +34.8 pp
San Miguel Beermen to win with +6.5 handicap 81.0% 1.68 59.5% +21.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

San Miguel Beermen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Oct 2022 Nlex Road Warriors Away 124-116 W
9 Oct 2022 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Home 113-105 W
5 Oct 2022 Blackwater Elite Away 106-109 L
2 Sep 2022 Talk N Text Tropang Texters Away 114-96 W
31 Aug 2022 Talk N Text Tropang Texters Home 93-102 L

Barangay Ginebra

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Oct 2022 Mahindra Floodbuster Away 111-90 W
23 Oct 2022 Purefoods Star Home 103-97 W
14 Oct 2022 Phoenix Petroleum - FEU Away 93-101 L
28 Sep 2022 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Home 71-93 L
29 Jul 2022 Meralco Bolts Away 94-87 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
San Miguel Beermen 10 103.8 100.3
Barangay Ginebra 10 91.9 94.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between San Miguel Beermen and Barangay Ginebra in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 Jun 2022 PBA Philippine Cup San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra 72-75
20 Feb 2022 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra vs San Miguel Beermen 102-110
10 Sep 2021 PBA Philippine Cup Barangay Ginebra vs San Miguel Beermen 102-111