Denver Pioneers 68-63 Idaho Vandals

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Idaho Vandals to win, with a 32% estimated probability. We also predict Idaho Vandals to win with +10.5 handicap at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Idaho Vandals to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 17.1/100
    Odds 5.55 1xBet Recorded P/L -17.05
    Best odds 5.55 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Idaho Vandals to win with +10.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 15.1/100
    Odds 1.98 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +14.84
    Best odds 1.98 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Idaho Vandals to win 32.0% 5.55 18.0% +14.0 pp
Idaho Vandals to win with +10.5 handicap 58.0% 1.98 50.5% +7.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Denver Pioneers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Feb 2022 Western Illinois Leathernecks Away 83-77 W
18 Feb 2022 Nebraska Omaha Away 69-72 L
12 Feb 2022 South Dakota Coyotes Home 76-84 L
11 Feb 2022 South Dakota State Home 61-84 L
5 Feb 2022 North Dakota St Away 65-73 L

Idaho Vandals

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
9 Mar 2022 Sacramento State Away 54-57 L
4 Mar 2022 Portland State Home 68-79 L
27 Feb 2022 Northern Colorado Away 94-98 L
19 Feb 2022 Eastern Washington Home 83-80 W
18 Feb 2022 Montana Grizzlies Home 82-76 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Denver Pioneers 10 73.3 74.8
Idaho Vandals 10 71.9 77.4