Massachusetts 94-67 Central Connecticut State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Massachusetts to win with -16.5 handicap, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict Central Connecticut State to win at 16%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Massachusetts to win with -16.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 14.0/100
    Odds 1.91 1xBet Recorded P/L +12.69
    Best odds 1.91 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Central Connecticut State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    16%
    Stake Low 9.0/100
    Odds 13.00 Caesars Recorded P/L -9.00
    Best odds 13.00 Caesars
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Massachusetts to win with -16.5 handicap 59.0% 1.91 52.4% +6.6 pp
Central Connecticut State to win 16.0% 13.00 7.7% +8.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Massachusetts

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Mar 2022 George Washington Away 99-88 W
3 Mar 2022 Fordham Home 81-73 W
1 Mar 2022 Fordham Away 73-85 L
26 Feb 2022 Virginia Commonwealth Home 62-77 L
24 Feb 2022 Dayton Away 61-82 L

Central Connecticut State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Mar 2022 Bryant Bulldogs Away 59-73 L
1 Mar 2022 Fairleigh Dickinson Away 67-66 W
26 Feb 2022 Mount St. Marys Home 46-65 L
19 Feb 2022 Wagner Seahawks Away 68-78 L
18 Feb 2022 Bryant Bulldogs Away 61-75 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Massachusetts 10 74.2 77.3
Central Connecticut State 10 59.9 70.0