Miami Heat 107-110 Portland Trail Blazers

Finished

For this NBA match, BetFTW's top pick is Miami Heat to win with -4.5 handicap, with a 69% estimated probability. We also predict Miami Heat to win at 76%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Miami Heat to win with -4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Med 35.7/100
    Odds 1.93 Suprabets Recorded P/L -35.67
    Best odds 1.93 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Miami Heat to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake Med 33.1/100
    Odds 1.56 Fezbet Recorded P/L -33.14
    Best odds 1.56 Fezbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 217.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 29.0/100
    Odds 1.92 GG.BET Recorded P/L -29.04
    Best odds 1.92 GG.BET
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Miami Heat to win with -4.5 handicap 69.0% 1.93 51.8% +17.2 pp
Miami Heat to win 76.0% 1.56 64.1% +11.9 pp
Total score under 217.0 66.0% 1.92 52.1% +13.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Miami Heat

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Nov 2022 Sacramento Kings Home 110-107 W
1 Nov 2022 Golden State Warriors Home 116-109 W
29 Oct 2022 Sacramento Kings Away 113-119 L
28 Oct 2022 Golden State Warriors Away 110-123 L
27 Oct 2022 Portland Trail Blazers Away 119-98 W

Portland Trail Blazers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Nov 2022 Phoenix Suns Away 82-102 L
5 Nov 2022 Phoenix Suns Away 108-106 W
3 Nov 2022 Memphis Grizzlies Home 106-111 L
29 Oct 2022 Houston Rockets Home 125-111 W
27 Oct 2022 Miami Heat Home 98-119 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Miami Heat 10 107.8 106.9
Portland Trail Blazers 10 108.6 111.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Miami Heat and Portland Trail Blazers in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
27 Oct 2022 NBA Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat 98-119
20 Jan 2022 NBA Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers 104-92
6 Jan 2022 NBA Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat 109-115
12 Apr 2021 NBA Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat 98-107