Mississippi State 63-44 Texas A&M Corpus Christi

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Mississippi State to win with -16.5 handicap, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict Texas A&M Corpus Christi to win at 16%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Mississippi State to win with -16.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 24.6/100
    Odds 2.19 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +29.21
    Best odds 2.19 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Texas A&M Corpus Christi to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    16%
    Stake Low 7.6/100
    Odds 11.00 1xBet Recorded P/L -7.60
    Best odds 11.00 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Mississippi State to win with -16.5 handicap 59.0% 2.19 45.7% +13.3 pp
Texas A&M Corpus Christi to win 16.0% 11.00 9.1% +6.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Mississippi State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
16 Mar 2022 Virginia Cavaliers Away 57-60 L
10 Mar 2022 South Carolina Away 73-51 W
3 Mar 2022 Auburn Tigers Home 68-81 L
26 Feb 2022 Vanderbilt Home 74-69 W
21 Feb 2022 Missouri Tigers Away 58-56 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Mississippi State 10 65.6 65.0