Verona 91-98 Varese

Finished

For this Lega A match, BetFTW's top pick is Verona to win with +3.5 handicap, with a 73% estimated probability. We also predict Verona to win at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Verona to win with +3.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    73%
    Stake Med 43.3/100
    Odds 1.91 Ladbrokes Recorded P/L -43.33
    Best odds 1.91 Ladbrokes
  2. Pick 2 Verona to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 39.9/100
    Odds 2.30 Ladbrokes Recorded P/L -43.63
    Best odds 2.52 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Verona to win with +3.5 handicap 73.0% 1.91 52.4% +20.6 pp
Verona to win 66.0% 2.52 39.7% +26.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Verona

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Nov 2022 Reggiana Away 70-65 W
6 Nov 2022 Pallacanestro Trento Home 86-92 L
30 Oct 2022 Milano Away 54-78 L
23 Oct 2022 Scafati Away 87-92 L
15 Oct 2022 Bologna Home 60-85 L

Varese

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Nov 2022 Venezia Home 93-90 W
6 Nov 2022 Scafati Away 101-93 W
30 Oct 2022 Treviso Home 87-85 W
22 Oct 2022 Reggiana Away 87-81 W
16 Oct 2022 Pallacanestro Trento Home 91-94 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Verona 10 78.5 80.5
Varese 10 94.2 88.0