Denver Nuggets 123-111 Boston Celtics

Finished

For this NBA match, BetFTW's top pick is Denver Nuggets to win with +2.5 handicap, with a 61% estimated probability. We also predict Denver Nuggets to win at 55%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Denver Nuggets to win with +2.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Med 26.2/100
    Odds 2.12 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +29.32
    Best odds 2.12 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Denver Nuggets to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 23.5/100
    Odds 2.43 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +33.65
    Best odds 2.43 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Denver Nuggets to win with +2.5 handicap 61.0% 2.12 47.2% +13.8 pp
Denver Nuggets to win 55.0% 2.43 41.2% +13.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Denver Nuggets

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Miami Heat Home 124-119 W
29 Dec 2022 Sacramento Kings Away 126-127 L
28 Dec 2022 Sacramento Kings Away 113-106 W
26 Dec 2022 Phoenix Suns Home 128-125 W
24 Dec 2022 Portland Trail Blazers Home 120-107 W

Boston Celtics

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Dec 2022 Los Angeles Clippers Home 116-110 W
28 Dec 2022 Houston Rockets Home 126-102 W
25 Dec 2022 Milwaukee Bucks Home 139-118 W
24 Dec 2022 Minnesota Timberwolves Home 121-109 W
22 Dec 2022 Indiana Pacers Home 112-117 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Denver Nuggets 10 119.9 115.4
Boston Celtics 10 113.7 112.2

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Denver Nuggets and Boston Celtics in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
12 Nov 2022 NBA Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets 131-112
21 Mar 2022 NBA Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics 104-124
12 Feb 2022 NBA Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets 108-102
11 Aug 2021 NBA Summer League Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics 82-107
11 Apr 2021 NBA Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics 87-105