Illawarra Hawks 89-96 Cairns Taipans

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Illawarra Hawks to win with +6.5 handicap, with a 69% estimated probability. We also predict Illawarra Hawks to win at 55%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Illawarra Hawks to win with +6.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Med 43.4/100
    Odds 2.21 Weltbet Recorded P/L -43.38
    Best odds 2.21 Weltbet
  2. Pick 2 Illawarra Hawks to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Med 40.9/100
    Odds 4.20 efbet Recorded P/L -40.94
    Best odds 4.20 efbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Illawarra Hawks to win with +6.5 handicap 69.0% 2.21 45.2% +23.8 pp
Illawarra Hawks to win 55.0% 4.20 23.8% +31.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Illawarra Hawks

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Perth Wildcats Home 97-107 L
22 Dec 2022 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 60-87 L
18 Dec 2022 Melbourne United Away 77-88 L
16 Dec 2022 Sydney Kings Home 79-86 L
10 Dec 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 101-102 L

Cairns Taipans

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Adelaide 36ers Home 86-83 W
23 Dec 2022 Melbourne United Away 81-84 L
20 Dec 2022 Perth Wildcats Home 83-105 L
17 Dec 2022 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 91-82 W
14 Dec 2022 Brisbane Bullets Home 85-76 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Illawarra Hawks 10 81.9 95.1
Cairns Taipans 10 87.4 86.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Illawarra Hawks and Cairns Taipans in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
10 Dec 2022 NBL Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks 102-101
18 Feb 2022 NBL Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans 79-54
12 Feb 2022 NBL Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans 87-81
29 Jan 2022 NBL Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks 75-94
23 May 2021 NBL Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans 93-81