Real Madrid 78-87 Barcelona

Finished

For this Liga ACB match, BetFTW's top pick is Real Madrid to win with -5.5 handicap, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict Real Madrid to win at 70%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Real Madrid to win with -5.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Med 25.4/100
    Odds 2.22 Suprabets Recorded P/L -26.72
    Best odds 2.27 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Real Madrid to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    70%
    Stake Low 20.0/100
    Odds 1.60 Bwin Recorded P/L -21.61
    Best odds 1.62 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Real Madrid to win with -5.5 handicap 59.0% 2.27 44.1% +14.9 pp
Real Madrid to win 70.0% 1.62 61.7% +8.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Real Madrid

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
29 Dec 2022 Baskonia Away 86-92 L
27 Dec 2022 Bilbao Away 85-80 W
22 Dec 2022 Lyon-Villeurbanne Home 92-73 W
18 Dec 2022 Iberostar Tenerife Away 80-67 W
15 Dec 2022 Zalgiris Kaunas Away 72-81 L

Barcelona

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Dec 2022 Crvena Zvezda Away 99-94 W
28 Dec 2022 Zaragoza Home 68-63 W
23 Dec 2022 Valencia Away 83-84 L
18 Dec 2022 Unicaja Home 75-60 W
16 Dec 2022 Panathinaikos Home 74-68 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Real Madrid 10 84.4 77.4
Barcelona 10 78.2 74.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Real Madrid and Barcelona in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
13 Oct 2022 Euroleague Barcelona vs Real Madrid 75-73
25 Sep 2022 Supercopa ACB Real Madrid vs Barcelona 89-83
19 Jun 2022 Liga ACB Real Madrid vs Barcelona 81-74
17 Jun 2022 Liga ACB Real Madrid vs Barcelona 81-66
15 Jun 2022 Liga ACB Barcelona vs Real Madrid 71-69