Varese 88-89 Derthona

Finished

For this Lega A match, BetFTW's top pick is under 178.0 points, with a 69% estimated probability. We also predict Derthona to win at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 178.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Med 40.6/100
    Odds 2.09 Suprabets Recorded P/L +44.21
    Best odds 2.09 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Derthona to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 6.1/100
    Odds 1.96 Efbet IT Recorded P/L +10.70
    Best odds 2.05 Efbet IT
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 178.0 69.0% 2.09 47.8% +21.2 pp
Derthona to win 54.0% 2.05 48.8% +5.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Varese

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Dec 2022 Milano Away 84-96 L
18 Dec 2022 Trieste Home 104-99 W
11 Dec 2022 Pesaro Away 93-101 L
4 Dec 2022 Bologna Home 100-108 L
27 Nov 2022 Verona Away 98-91 W

Derthona

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Dec 2022 Treviso Home 90-95 L
18 Dec 2022 Scafati Away 91-72 W
10 Dec 2022 Sassari Home 79-82 L
3 Dec 2022 Verona Away 102-80 W
27 Nov 2022 Cuore Napoli Home 74-73 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Varese 10 93.8 93.8
Derthona 10 83.4 76.5

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Varese and Derthona in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
16 Apr 2022 Lega A Derthona vs Varese 104-99
20 Nov 2021 Lega A Varese vs Derthona 85-76