Alba Berlin 85-84 Baskonia

Finished

For this Euroleague match, BetFTW's top pick is Alba Berlin to win with +4.5 handicap, with a 66% estimated probability. We also predict Alba Berlin to win at 55%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alba Berlin to win with +4.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 30.6/100
    Odds 1.96 Suprabets Recorded P/L +29.36
    Best odds 1.96 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Alba Berlin to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Med 29.4/100
    Odds 2.76 Suprabets Recorded P/L +51.80
    Best odds 2.76 Suprabets
  3. Pick 3 Alba Berlin to win with +5.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 25.8/100
    Odds 1.80 Ladbrokes Recorded P/L +20.60
    Best odds 1.80 Ladbrokes
  4. Pick 4 Total score under 166.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 20.2/100
    Odds 2.36 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -20.18
    Best odds 2.36 Pinnacle
  5. Pick 5 Total score under 165.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 6.3/100
    Odds 2.05 22Bet Recorded P/L -6.29
    Best odds 2.05 22Bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Alba Berlin to win with +4.5 handicap 66.0% 1.96 51.0% +15.0 pp
Alba Berlin to win 55.0% 2.76 36.2% +18.8 pp
Alba Berlin to win with +5.5 handicap 67.0% 1.80 55.6% +11.4 pp
Total score under 166.0 54.0% 2.36 42.4% +11.6 pp
Total score under 165.0 52.0% 2.05 48.8% +3.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alba Berlin

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Jan 2023 Frankfurt Home 99-74 W
30 Dec 2022 Lyon-Villeurbanne Away 91-79 W
27 Dec 2022 Mitteldeutscher Home 86-60 W
22 Dec 2022 Maccabi Tel Aviv Home 70-83 L
18 Dec 2022 Ulm Away 110-83 W

Baskonia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Jan 2023 Granada Away 95-84 W
29 Dec 2022 Real Madrid Home 92-86 W
27 Dec 2022 Rio Breogan Away 86-77 W
22 Dec 2022 Bologna Home 90-79 W
18 Dec 2022 Fuenlabrada Home 102-88 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Alba Berlin 10 88.2 83.3
Baskonia 10 90.0 75.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Alba Berlin and Baskonia in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
18 Mar 2022 Euroleague Baskonia vs Alba Berlin 85-68
14 Oct 2021 Euroleague Alba Berlin vs Baskonia 76-80
22 Jan 2021 Euroleague Baskonia vs Alba Berlin 77-84
5 Jan 2021 Euroleague Alba Berlin vs Baskonia 95-91