Dayton 76-56 Saint Josephs

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Dayton to win with -15.5 handicap, with a 76% estimated probability. We also predict over 135.0 points at 62%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Dayton to win with -15.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake High 57.3/100
    Odds 2.28 Suprabets Recorded P/L +73.28
    Best odds 2.28 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 135.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Med 27.5/100
    Odds 2.10 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -27.45
    Best odds 2.10 Casumo Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Dayton to win with -15.5 handicap 76.0% 2.28 43.9% +32.1 pp
Total score over 135.0 62.0% 2.10 47.6% +14.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Dayton

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Davidson Wildcats Away 69-55 W
29 Dec 2022 Duquesne Home 69-57 W
21 Dec 2022 Alcorn State Home 88-46 W
18 Dec 2022 Wyoming Cowboys Home 66-49 W
10 Dec 2022 UNC Asheville Home 79-56 W

Saint Josephs

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Saint Louis Home 78-83 L
23 Dec 2022 Central Connecticut State Home 83-66 W
20 Dec 2022 Sacred Heart Home 77-59 W
17 Dec 2022 Villanova Home 64-71 L
10 Dec 2022 Saint Peters Peacocks Home 73-57 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Dayton 10 70.6 61.6
Saint Josephs 10 75.2 72.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Dayton and Saint Josephs in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
19 Feb 2022 NCAA Saint Josephs vs Dayton 62-74
24 Feb 2021 NCAA Saint Josephs vs Dayton 97-84