Duquesne 79-70 Virginia Commonwealth

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 138.0 points, with a 61% estimated probability. We also predict Duquesne to win at 53%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 138.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 18.6/100
    Odds 1.92 betFIRST Recorded P/L -18.61
    Best odds 1.92 betFIRST
  2. Pick 2 Duquesne to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    53%
    Stake Low 8.2/100
    Odds 2.05 Sportingbet Recorded P/L +8.65
    Best odds 2.05 Sportingbet
  3. Pick 3 Duquesne to win with -2.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    45%
    Stake Low 5.1/100
    Odds 2.38 Suprabets Recorded P/L +7.09
    Best odds 2.38 Suprabets
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 138.0 61.0% 1.92 52.1% +8.9 pp
Duquesne to win 53.0% 2.05 48.8% +4.2 pp
Duquesne to win with -2.5 handicap 45.0% 2.38 42.0% +3.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Duquesne

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Rhode Island Home 72-61 W
29 Dec 2022 Dayton Away 57-69 L
21 Dec 2022 Winthrop Home 74-57 W
17 Dec 2022 Indiana State Home 92-86 W
15 Dec 2022 DePaul Home 66-55 W

Virginia Commonwealth

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 La Salle Home 80-67 W
22 Dec 2022 Navy Home 74-52 W
17 Dec 2022 Northern Illinois Home 90-63 W
15 Dec 2022 Radford Home 70-62 W
12 Dec 2022 Howard Bison Home 70-60 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Duquesne 10 71.7 67.8
Virginia Commonwealth 10 70.0 64.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Duquesne and Virginia Commonwealth in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Feb 2022 NCAA Virginia Commonwealth vs Duquesne 71-62