East Carolina Pirates 61-64 UCF Knights

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 38% estimated probability. We also predict East Carolina Pirates to win with +6.5 handicap at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 East Carolina Pirates to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    38%
    Stake Low 7.8/100
    Odds 3.05 Bet365 Recorded P/L -9.16
    Best odds 3.15 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 East Carolina Pirates to win with +6.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 5.2/100
    Odds 1.83 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +4.31
    Best odds 1.83 Vbet Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
East Carolina Pirates to win 38.0% 3.15 31.7% +6.3 pp
East Carolina Pirates to win with +6.5 handicap 57.0% 1.83 54.6% +2.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

East Carolina Pirates

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Wichita State Away 79-69 W
29 Dec 2022 Temple Owls Home 57-59 L
21 Dec 2022 High Point Home 60-49 W
17 Dec 2022 South Carolina Away 64-56 W
11 Dec 2022 Coppin State Home 84-75 W

UCF Knights

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Houston Cougars Away 65-71 L
29 Dec 2022 Wichita State Home 52-45 W
22 Dec 2022 Stetson Hatters Home 73-58 W
17 Dec 2022 Missouri Tigers Home 66-68 L
15 Dec 2022 Ole Miss Away 72-61 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
East Carolina Pirates 10 69.5 66.5
UCF Knights 10 68.2 58.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between East Carolina Pirates and UCF Knights in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
20 Feb 2022 NCAA UCF Knights vs East Carolina Pirates 69-66
19 Jan 2022 NCAA East Carolina Pirates vs UCF Knights 85-92
12 Mar 2021 NCAA UCF Knights vs East Carolina Pirates 72-62
5 Mar 2021 NCAA East Carolina Pirates vs UCF Knights 60-64
28 Jan 2021 NCAA UCF Knights vs East Carolina Pirates 71-64