Guangzhou Long Lions 83-113 Xinjiang

Finished

For this CBA match, BetFTW's top pick is Guangzhou Long Lions to win with +6.5 handicap, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict Guangzhou Long Lions to win at 62%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Guangzhou Long Lions to win with +6.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 45.4/100
    Odds 1.91 Bet365 Recorded P/L -45.40
    Best odds 1.91 Bet365
  2. Pick 2 Guangzhou Long Lions to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Med 43.0/100
    Odds 3.00 efbet Recorded P/L -43.00
    Best odds 3.00 efbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 198.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 10.3/100
    Odds 2.15 Cricbaba Recorded P/L +11.80
    Best odds 2.15 Cricbaba
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Guangzhou Long Lions to win with +6.5 handicap 74.0% 1.91 52.4% +21.6 pp
Guangzhou Long Lions to win 62.0% 3.00 33.3% +28.7 pp
Total score under 198.0 52.0% 2.15 46.5% +5.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Guangzhou Long Lions

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Jan 2023 Shenzhen Leopards Home 109-105 W
30 Dec 2022 Zhejiang Lions Home 134-99 W
28 Dec 2022 Shanghai Away 92-121 L
26 Dec 2022 Shandong Away 109-112 L
23 Dec 2022 Shanxi Away 108-100 W

Xinjiang

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Jan 2023 Qingdao Home 108-99 W
30 Dec 2022 Shanxi Home 127-110 W
28 Dec 2022 Jiangsu Dragons Away 88-75 W
25 Dec 2022 Zhejiang Lions Away 85-77 W
23 Dec 2022 Shanghai Home 86-98 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Guangzhou Long Lions 10 100.2 97.8
Xinjiang 10 95.9 97.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Guangzhou Long Lions and Xinjiang in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
8 Dec 2022 CBA Xinjiang vs Guangzhou Long Lions 108-96
10 Nov 2021 CBA Xinjiang vs Guangzhou Long Lions 102-117
2 Nov 2021 CBA Guangzhou Long Lions vs Xinjiang 123-105
13 Apr 2021 CBA Xinjiang vs Guangzhou Long Lions 94-105
1 Apr 2021 CBA Guangzhou Long Lions vs Xinjiang 93-110