Los Angeles Lakers 112-109 Miami Heat

Finished

For this NBA match, BetFTW's top pick is Los Angeles Lakers to win with +9.5 handicap, with a 76% estimated probability. We also predict Los Angeles Lakers to win at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Los Angeles Lakers to win with +9.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake Med 46.7/100
    Odds 1.82 1xBet Recorded P/L +38.26
    Best odds 1.82 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Los Angeles Lakers to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Med 44.4/100
    Odds 4.08 1xBet Recorded P/L +136.63
    Best odds 4.08 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 227.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 37.8/100
    Odds 2.13 Weltbet Recorded P/L +42.71
    Best odds 2.13 Weltbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Los Angeles Lakers to win with +9.5 handicap 76.0% 1.82 54.9% +21.1 pp
Los Angeles Lakers to win 58.0% 4.08 24.5% +33.5 pp
Total score under 227.0 67.0% 2.13 46.9% +20.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Los Angeles Lakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Jan 2023 Charlotte Hornets Away 121-115 W
31 Dec 2022 Atlanta Hawks Away 130-121 W
29 Dec 2022 Miami Heat Away 98-112 L
28 Dec 2022 Orlando Magic Away 129-110 W
25 Dec 2022 Dallas Mavericks Away 115-124 L

Miami Heat

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Jan 2023 Los Angeles Clippers Away 110-100 W
1 Jan 2023 Utah Jazz Away 126-123 W
31 Dec 2022 Denver Nuggets Away 119-124 L
29 Dec 2022 Los Angeles Lakers Home 112-98 W
27 Dec 2022 Minnesota Timberwolves Home 113-110 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Los Angeles Lakers 10 119.2 120.5
Miami Heat 10 112.3 109.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
29 Dec 2022 NBA Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers 112-98
23 Jan 2022 NBA Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers 113-107
11 Nov 2021 NBA Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat 120-117
9 Apr 2021 NBA Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers 110-104
21 Feb 2021 NBA Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat 94-96