Adelaide 36ers 103-95 Illawarra Hawks

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is over 176.0 points, with a 62% estimated probability. We also predict Adelaide 36ers to win with -13.5 handicap at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 176.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Low 19.8/100
    Odds 1.90 Cricbaba Recorded P/L +21.52
    Best odds 1.96 Goldenbet
  2. Pick 2 Adelaide 36ers to win with -13.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 19.6/100
    Odds 2.15 Cricbaba Recorded P/L -19.61
    Best odds 2.15 Cricbaba
  3. Pick 3 Adelaide 36ers to win with -12.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 15.9/100
    Odds 1.95 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -16.29
    Best odds 1.96 LeoVegas Sport
  4. Pick 4 Illawarra Hawks to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    20%
    Stake Low 7.1/100
    Odds 7.20 efbet Recorded P/L -7.10
    Best odds 7.20 efbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 176.0 62.0% 1.96 51.0% +11.0 pp
Adelaide 36ers to win with -13.5 handicap 57.0% 2.15 46.5% +10.5 pp
Adelaide 36ers to win with -12.5 handicap 59.0% 1.96 51.0% +8.0 pp
Illawarra Hawks to win 20.0% 7.20 13.9% +6.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Adelaide 36ers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Dec 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 83-86 L
29 Dec 2022 Brisbane Bullets Home 87-84 W
24 Dec 2022 South East Melbourne Phoenix Home 94-88 W
19 Dec 2022 Tasmania JackJumpers Home 93-82 W
17 Dec 2022 Brisbane Bullets Home 108-77 W

Illawarra Hawks

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Jan 2023 Cairns Taipans Home 89-96 L
31 Dec 2022 Perth Wildcats Home 97-107 L
22 Dec 2022 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 60-87 L
18 Dec 2022 Melbourne United Away 77-88 L
16 Dec 2022 Sydney Kings Home 79-86 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Adelaide 36ers 10 89.1 87.1
Illawarra Hawks 10 82.8 95.1

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Adelaide 36ers and Illawarra Hawks in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
3 Nov 2022 NBL Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers 80-96
15 Oct 2022 NBL Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks 90-80
25 Feb 2022 NBL Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers 87-71
24 Jan 2022 NBL Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers 100-89
5 Dec 2021 NBL Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks 71-81