Bay Area Dragons 94-86 Barangay Ginebra

Finished

For this Commissioners Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is Bay Area Dragons to win, with a 82% estimated probability. We also predict Bay Area Dragons to win with +3.5 handicap at 85%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Bay Area Dragons to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    82%
    Stake High 66.4/100
    Odds 2.15 efbet Recorded P/L +76.30
    Best odds 2.15 efbet
  2. Pick 2 Bay Area Dragons to win with +3.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    85%
    Stake High 65.0/100
    Odds 1.75 Fezbet Recorded P/L +48.75
    Best odds 1.75 Fezbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 188.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 28.6/100
    Odds 1.91 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -28.60
    Best odds 1.91 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Bay Area Dragons to win 82.0% 2.15 46.5% +35.5 pp
Bay Area Dragons to win with +3.5 handicap 85.0% 1.75 57.1% +27.9 pp
Total score over 188.0 66.0% 1.91 52.4% +13.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Bay Area Dragons

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Jan 2023 Barangay Ginebra Away 82-89 L
28 Dec 2022 Barangay Ginebra Home 99-82 W
25 Dec 2022 Barangay Ginebra Away 81-96 L
21 Dec 2022 San Miguel Beermen Home 94-92 W
18 Dec 2022 San Miguel Beermen Away 96-98 L

Barangay Ginebra

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Jan 2023 Bay Area Dragons Home 89-82 W
28 Dec 2022 Bay Area Dragons Away 82-99 L
25 Dec 2022 Bay Area Dragons Home 96-81 W
21 Dec 2022 Purefoods Star Away 99-84 W
18 Dec 2022 Purefoods Star Home 103-80 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Bay Area Dragons 9 98.9 93.2
Barangay Ginebra 10 98.1 90.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Bay Area Dragons and Barangay Ginebra in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
4 Jan 2023 Commissioners Cup Barangay Ginebra vs Bay Area Dragons 89-82
28 Dec 2022 Commissioners Cup Bay Area Dragons vs Barangay Ginebra 99-82
25 Dec 2022 Commissioners Cup Barangay Ginebra vs Bay Area Dragons 96-81