Valencia 75-77 Crvena Zvezda

Finished

For this Euroleague match, BetFTW's top pick is Crvena Zvezda to win, with a 50% estimated probability. We also predict Crvena Zvezda to win with +6.5 handicap at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Crvena Zvezda to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Med 25.6/100
    Odds 3.05 William Hill Recorded P/L +70.01
    Best odds 3.40 William Hill
  2. Pick 2 Crvena Zvezda to win with +6.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 25.2/100
    Odds 1.83 Bet365 Recorded P/L +25.40
    Best odds 1.90 Suprabets
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 158.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    60%
    Stake Low 15.6/100
    Odds 1.90 Cricbaba Recorded P/L -17.98
    Best odds 1.95 22Bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Crvena Zvezda to win 50.0% 3.40 29.4% +20.6 pp
Crvena Zvezda to win with +6.5 handicap 66.0% 1.90 52.6% +13.4 pp
Total score over 158.0 60.0% 1.95 51.3% +8.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Valencia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Jan 2023 Fuenlabrada Home 92-86 W
29 Dec 2022 Milano Away 79-90 L
27 Dec 2022 Gran Canaria Away 89-95 L
23 Dec 2022 Barcelona Home 84-83 W
18 Dec 2022 Granada Away 110-81 W

Crvena Zvezda

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Jan 2023 Split Away 72-63 W
30 Dec 2022 Barcelona Home 94-99 L
25 Dec 2022 Borac Home 86-57 W
22 Dec 2022 Olympiacos Away 90-86 W
18 Dec 2022 Mega Leks Home 92-58 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Valencia 10 87.4 85.5
Crvena Zvezda 10 83.9 73.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Valencia and Crvena Zvezda in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
15 Jan 2021 Euroleague Valencia vs Crvena Zvezda 91-71
18 Dec 2020 Euroleague Crvena Zvezda vs Valencia 76-73