Adelaide 36ers 83-85 NZ Breakers

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is over 178.0 points, with a 60% estimated probability. We also predict Adelaide 36ers to win at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 178.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    60%
    Stake Low 18.8/100
    Odds 1.97 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -18.76
    Best odds 1.97 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Adelaide 36ers to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 18.0/100
    Odds 2.05 efbet Recorded P/L -18.00
    Best odds 2.05 efbet
  3. Pick 3 Adelaide 36ers to win with +2.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 17.9/100
    Odds 1.78 Bwin Recorded P/L +13.92
    Best odds 1.78 Bwin
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 178.0 60.0% 1.97 50.8% +9.2 pp
Adelaide 36ers to win 58.0% 2.05 48.8% +9.2 pp
Adelaide 36ers to win with +2.5 handicap 64.0% 1.78 56.2% +7.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Adelaide 36ers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Jan 2023 Illawarra Hawks Home 103-95 W
31 Dec 2022 Cairns Taipans Away 83-86 L
29 Dec 2022 Brisbane Bullets Home 87-84 W
24 Dec 2022 South East Melbourne Phoenix Home 94-88 W
19 Dec 2022 Tasmania JackJumpers Home 93-82 W

NZ Breakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Jan 2023 Perth Wildcats Home 97-94 W
26 Dec 2022 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 82-93 L
8 Dec 2022 Sydney Kings Home 81-88 L
3 Dec 2022 Perth Wildcats Home 84-92 L
1 Dec 2022 South East Melbourne Phoenix Home 110-84 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Adelaide 36ers 10 89.8 88.4
NZ Breakers 10 90.2 84.1

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Adelaide 36ers and NZ Breakers in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
20 Nov 2022 NBL NZ Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers 89-83
28 Oct 2022 NBL Adelaide 36ers vs NZ Breakers 70-99
24 Apr 2022 NBL NZ Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers 60-93
12 Mar 2022 NBL NZ Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers 84-75
12 Dec 2021 NBL Adelaide 36ers vs NZ Breakers 98-85