Cairns Taipans 94-85 South East Melbourne Phoenix

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with +4.5 handicap, with a 60% estimated probability. We also predict South East Melbourne Phoenix to win at 47%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with +4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    60%
    Stake Low 17.9/100
    Odds 1.95 Bwin Recorded P/L -17.89
    Best odds 1.95 Bwin
  2. Pick 2 South East Melbourne Phoenix to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    47%
    Stake Low 12.8/100
    Odds 2.55 Bwin Recorded P/L -12.81
    Best odds 2.55 Bwin
  3. Pick 3 South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with +5.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 1.75 Bwin Recorded P/L -11.33
    Best odds 1.75 Bwin
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with +4.5 handicap 60.0% 1.95 51.3% +8.7 pp
South East Melbourne Phoenix to win 47.0% 2.55 39.2% +7.8 pp
South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with +5.5 handicap 62.0% 1.75 57.1% +4.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Cairns Taipans

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Jan 2023 Brisbane Bullets Away 107-81 W
2 Jan 2023 Illawarra Hawks Away 96-89 W
31 Dec 2022 Adelaide 36ers Home 86-83 W
23 Dec 2022 Melbourne United Away 81-84 L
20 Dec 2022 Perth Wildcats Home 83-105 L

South East Melbourne Phoenix

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Jan 2023 Sydney Kings Away 102-118 L
1 Jan 2023 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 74-99 L
24 Dec 2022 Adelaide 36ers Away 88-94 L
21 Dec 2022 Brisbane Bullets Away 104-77 W
18 Dec 2022 Sydney Kings Home 113-112 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Cairns Taipans 10 87.7 86.1
South East Melbourne Phoenix 10 93.2 93.0

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Cairns Taipans and South East Melbourne Phoenix in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
8 Oct 2022 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans 76-85
2 Apr 2022 NBL Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 90-85
25 Mar 2022 NBL Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 74-86
28 May 2021 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans 87-94
14 May 2021 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans 106-77