Mega Leks 77-72 FMP Beograd

Finished

For this ABA League match, BetFTW's top pick is Mega Leks to win with +4.5 handicap, with a 61% estimated probability. We also predict Mega Leks to win at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Mega Leks to win with +4.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 17.7/100
    Odds 1.90 Mostbet Recorded P/L +15.90
    Best odds 1.90 Mostbet
  2. Pick 2 Mega Leks to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 16.7/100
    Odds 2.50 Mostbet Recorded P/L +32.00
    Best odds 2.64 Marathonbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 171.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 1.75 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -11.33
    Best odds 1.75 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Mega Leks to win with +4.5 handicap 61.0% 1.90 52.6% +8.4 pp
Mega Leks to win 50.0% 2.64 37.9% +12.1 pp
Total score over 171.0 62.0% 1.75 57.1% +4.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Mega Leks

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Jan 2023 Union Olimpija Home 82-96 L
25 Dec 2022 Buducnost Away 66-79 L
18 Dec 2022 Crvena Zvezda Away 58-92 L
11 Dec 2022 Split Away 75-79 L
3 Dec 2022 Borac Home 86-74 W

FMP Beograd

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Jan 2023 KK Mornar Away 113-102 W
24 Dec 2022 Studentski Centar Home 90-73 W
19 Dec 2022 Partizan Away 86-90 L
12 Dec 2022 KK Cibona Home 111-75 W
2 Dec 2022 KK Zadar Away 97-103 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Mega Leks 10 82.0 85.9
FMP Beograd 10 95.0 87.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Mega Leks and FMP Beograd in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
3 Oct 2022 ABA League FMP Beograd vs Mega Leks 90-76
29 Jan 2022 ABA League FMP Beograd vs Mega Leks 79-86
24 Oct 2021 ABA League Mega Leks vs FMP Beograd 82-89
11 Apr 2021 ABA League Mega Leks vs FMP Beograd 76-84
25 Dec 2020 ABA League FMP Beograd vs Mega Leks 91-92