Pesaro 101-72 Treviso

Finished

For this Lega A match, BetFTW's top pick is Treviso to win with +6.5 handicap, with a 68% estimated probability. We also predict Treviso to win at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Treviso to win with +6.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 34.3/100
    Odds 1.95 Suprabets Recorded P/L -34.67
    Best odds 1.96 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Treviso to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Med 33.1/100
    Odds 3.20 Fanduel Recorded P/L -33.56
    Best odds 3.25 efbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 171.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 14.1/100
    Odds 2.10 Suprabets Recorded P/L +15.50
    Best odds 2.10 Suprabets
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Treviso to win with +6.5 handicap 68.0% 1.96 51.0% +17.0 pp
Treviso to win 54.0% 3.25 30.8% +23.2 pp
Total score over 171.0 55.0% 2.10 47.6% +7.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Pesaro

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Dec 2022 Reggiana Away 76-95 L
26 Dec 2022 Bologna Home 82-87 L
18 Dec 2022 Verona Away 94-90 W
11 Dec 2022 Varese Home 101-93 W
4 Dec 2022 Pallacanestro Trento Away 75-79 L

Treviso

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Jan 2023 Venezia Home 100-93 W
26 Dec 2022 Derthona Away 95-90 W
18 Dec 2022 Brindisi Home 75-68 W
11 Dec 2022 Verona Home 77-79 L
4 Dec 2022 Scafati Away 72-89 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Pesaro 10 87.7 87.4
Treviso 10 83.6 87.2

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Pesaro and Treviso in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
30 Jan 2022 Lega A Pesaro vs Treviso 105-108
11 Dec 2021 Lega A Treviso vs Pesaro 63-73
3 Apr 2021 Lega A Pesaro vs Treviso 89-97
6 Dec 2020 Lega A Treviso vs Pesaro 91-81