Denver Nuggets 104-93 Miami Heat

Finished

BetFTW predicts Denver Nuggets to win with -8.5 handicap for Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat, with a 59% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Denver Nuggets to win with -8.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 14.9/100
    Odds 1.93 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +15.13
    Best odds 1.95 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Denver Nuggets to win with -8.5 handicap 59.0% 1.95 51.3% +7.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Denver Nuggets

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 May 2023 Los Angeles Lakers Away 113-111 W
21 May 2023 Los Angeles Lakers Away 119-108 W
19 May 2023 Los Angeles Lakers Home 108-103 W
17 May 2023 Los Angeles Lakers Home 132-126 W
12 May 2023 Phoenix Suns Away 125-100 W

Miami Heat

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 May 2023 Boston Celtics Away 103-84 W
28 May 2023 Boston Celtics Home 103-104 L
26 May 2023 Boston Celtics Away 97-110 L
24 May 2023 Boston Celtics Home 99-116 L
22 May 2023 Boston Celtics Home 128-102 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Denver Nuggets 10 117.5 109.4
Miami Heat 10 110.5 105.0

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
14 Feb 2023 NBA Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets 108-112
31 Dec 2022 NBA Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat 124-119
30 Nov 2021 NBA Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets 111-120
9 Nov 2021 NBA Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat 113-96
9 Aug 2021 NBA Summer League Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets 97-77