Germany 107-58 China

Finished

For this International Friendlies match, BetFTW's top pick is Germany to win with -18.5 handicap, with a 66% estimated probability. We also predict under 158.0 points at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Germany to win with -18.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 30.2/100
    Odds 1.95 Betclic Recorded P/L +28.70
    Best odds 1.95 Betclic
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 158.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 29.9/100
    Odds 1.94 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -29.94
    Best odds 1.94 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Germany to win with -18.5 handicap 66.0% 1.95 51.3% +14.7 pp
Total score under 158.0 66.0% 1.94 51.5% +14.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Germany

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
9 Aug 2023 Canada Home 86-81 W
5 Aug 2023 Sweden Home 87-68 W
27 Feb 2023 Finland Away 87-81 W
24 Feb 2023 Sweden Home 73-66 W
14 Nov 2022 Slovenia Away 75-81 L

China

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Aug 2023 Cape Verde Away 86-66 W
26 Feb 2023 Iran Home 86-74 W
23 Feb 2023 Kazakhstan Home 71-59 W
14 Nov 2022 Bahrain Away 80-67 W
11 Nov 2022 Iran Away 81-72 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Germany 10 86.7 79.7
China 10 80.9 67.0