Indonesia 91-82 Kazakhstan

Finished

For this Olympic Games Men match, BetFTW's top pick is Indonesia to win with +4.5 handicap, with a 69% estimated probability. We also predict Indonesia to win at 60%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Indonesia to win with +4.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Med 34.6/100
    Odds 1.90 Фонбет Recorded P/L +31.10
    Best odds 1.90 Фонбет
  2. Pick 2 Indonesia to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    60%
    Stake Med 33.3/100
    Odds 2.50 Фонбет Recorded P/L +50.00
    Best odds 2.50 Фонбет
  3. Pick 3 Kazakhstan to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    40%
    Stake Low 19.6/100
    Odds 3.94 Weltbet Recorded P/L -19.59
    Best odds 3.94 Weltbet
  4. Pick 4 Kazakhstan to win with -4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    31%
    Stake Low 10.7/100
    Odds 4.41 22Bet Recorded P/L -10.74
    Best odds 4.41 22Bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Indonesia to win with +4.5 handicap 69.0% 1.90 52.6% +16.4 pp
Indonesia to win 60.0% 2.50 40.0% +20.0 pp
Kazakhstan to win 40.0% 3.94 25.4% +14.6 pp
Kazakhstan to win with -4.5 handicap 31.0% 4.41 22.7% +8.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Indonesia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Aug 2023 Syria Home 76-82 L
14 May 2023 Thailand Home 87-69 W
12 May 2023 Vietnam Away 88-82 W
18 Jul 2022 China Away 58-108 L
16 Jul 2022 Australia Away 53-78 L

Kazakhstan

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Feb 2023 Australia Away 53-98 L
23 Feb 2023 China Away 59-71 L
14 Nov 2022 Japan Home 61-81 L
11 Nov 2022 Australia Home 50-97 L
30 Aug 2022 Japan Away 48-73 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Indonesia 10 71.1 77.4
Kazakhstan 10 57.3 82.3